The 2000-2005 World Outlook for Mobile Telephones (Strategic Planning Series)

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The 2000-2005 World Outlook for Mobile Telephones

www.icongroupedition.com

Ó2002 Icon Group Ltd.

ii

COPYRIGHT NOTICE ISBN: 0-7576-5310-3

All of Icon Group Ltd. publications are copyrighted. Copying our publications in whole or in part, for whatever reason, is a violation of copyrights laws and can lead to penalties and fines. Should you want to copy tables, graphs or other materials from our publications, please contact us to request permission. Icon Group Ltd. often grants permission for very limited reproduction of our publications for internal use, press releases, and academic research. Such reproduction requires, however, confirmed permission from Icon Group Ltd. Please read the full copyright notice, disclaimer, and user agreement provisions at the end of this report.

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

Neither Icon Group Ltd. nor its employees can be held accountable for the use and subsequent actions of the user of the information provided in this publication. Great efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the data, but we can not guarantee, given the volume of information, accuracy. Since the information given in this report is forward-looking, the reader should read the disclaimer statement and user agreement provisions at the end of this report.



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About Icon Group Ltd. Icon Group Ltd.’s primary mission is to assist managers with their international information needs using forwardlooking economic analysis. Icon Group has field offices in San Diego, Paris, Singapore, Hong Kong and Lomé, Togo (West Africa). Icon Group has published hundreds of multi-client databases, and global/regional market data, industry and country publications. Global/Regional Management Studies. Summarizing over 210 countries, management studies are generally organized into regional volumes and cover key management functions. The human resource series covers minimum wages, child labor, unionization and collective bargaining. The international law series covers media control and censorship, search and seizure, and trial justice and punishment. The diversity management series covers a variety of environmental context drivers that effect global operations. These include women’s rights, children’s rights, discrimination/racism, and religious forces and risks. Global strategic planning studies cover economic risk assessments, political risk assessments, foreign direct investment strategy, intellectual property strategy, and export strategy. Financial management studies cover taxes and tariffs. Global marketing studies focus on target segments (e.g. seniors, children, women) and strategic marketing planning. Country Studies: Often managers need an in-depth, yet broad and up-to-date understanding of a country’s strategic market potential and situation before the first field trip or investment proposal. Covering over 190 countries, each study consists of forward-looking analysis, statistics, forecasts, and information of relevance to managers. The studies are continually updated to ensure that the reports have the most relevant information available. In addition to raw information, the reports provide relevant analyses which put a more general perspective on a country (seen in the context of relative performance vis-à-vis benchmarks). Industry & Trade Studies: Companies are racing to become more international, if not global in their strategies. For over 2000 product/industry categories, these reports give the reader a concise summary of latent market forecasts, pro-forma financials, import competition profiles, key references and trends across 200 countries of the world. Some reports focus on a particular product and region (up to four regions per product), while others focus on a product within a particular country. Intranet Subscriptions: Icon Group Ltd. now offers full intranet subscriptions which brings millions of dollars of high-end global market research to the manager’s personal computer. For more information, please contact Icon Group via our web site: www.icongroupedition.com, or please email: [email protected]. In addition to these reports, Icon Group publishes similar studies for other product categories, issue areas, regions of the world, countries, cities and states (in the case of the United States). If you wish to receive a report that is customized or addressing a particular issue, feel free to contact Icon Group: Icon Group Customer Service 4370 La Jolla Village Drive, Fourth Floor San Diego, CA 92122 USA Tel: 858-546-4340 Fax: 858-546-4341 Email: [email protected] URL: www.icongroupedition.com Note: as statements and statistics in this report are forward-looking, the reader needs to read the last chapter for disclaimers and user agreement provisions. www.icongroupedition.com


Contents

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Table of Contents 1

INTRODUCTION

1.1 1.2 1.3 2

Overview Market Potential Estimation Methodology The Worldwide Market Potential for Mobile Telephones

AFRICA: MOBILE TELEPHONES

2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.10 2.11 2.12 2.13 2.14 2.15 2.16 2.17 2.18 2.19 2.20 2.21 2.22 2.23 2.24 2.25 2.26 2.27 2.28 2.29 2.30 2.31 2.32 2.33 2.34 2.35 2.36 2.37

Executive Summary Algeria Angola Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Burundi Cameroon Cape Verde Central African Republic Chad Comoros Congo (formerly Zaire) Djibouti Egypt Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Ethiopia Gabon Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Ivory coast Kenya Lesotho Liberia Libya Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Mozambique Namibia Niger Nigeria


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9 9 11 12

12 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 30 31 31 Ó2002 Icon Group Ltd.

Contents

2.38 2.39 2.40 2.41 2.42 2.43 2.44 2.45 2.46 2.47 2.48 2.49 2.50 2.51 2.52 2.53 3

Republic of Congo Rwanda Sao Tome E Principe Senegal Sierra Leone Somalia South Africa Sudan Swaziland Tanzania The Gambia Togo Tunisia Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe

ASIA: MOBILE TELEPHONES

3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.10 3.11 3.12 3.13 3.14 3.15 3.16 3.17 3.18 3.19 3.20 3.21 3.22 3.23 3.24 3.25 3.26 3.27

Executive Summary Bangladesh Bhutan Brunei Burma Cambodia China Hong Kong India Indonesia Japan Laos Macau Malaysia Maldives Mongolia Nepal North Korea Papua New Guinea Philippines Seychelles Singapore South Korea Sri Lanka Taiwan Thailand Vietnam


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32 32 33 33 34 34 35 35 36 36 37 37 38 38 39 39 40

40 42 42 43 43 44 44 45 45 46 46 47 47 48 48 49 49 50 50 51 51 52 52 53 53 54 54 Ó2002 Icon Group Ltd.

Contents

4

EUROPE: MOBILE TELEPHONES

4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.10 4.11 4.12 4.13 4.14 4.15 4.16 4.17 4.18 4.19 4.20 4.21 4.22 4.23 4.24 4.25 4.26 4.27 4.28 4.29 4.30 4.31 4.32 4.33 4.34 4.35 4.36 4.37 4.38 4.39 4.40 4.41 4.42 4.43

Executive Summary Albania Andorra Austria Belarus Belgium Bosnia and Herzegovina Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Georgia Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Italy Kazakhstan Latvia Liechtenstein Lithuania Luxembourg Macedonia Malta Moldova Monaco Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Romania Russia Serbia and Montenegro Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland


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55 57 57 58 58 59 59 60 60 61 61 62 62 63 63 64 64 65 65 66 66 67 67 68 68 69 69 70 70 71 71 72 72 73 73 74 74 75 75 76 76 77 77 Ó2002 Icon Group Ltd.

Contents

4.44 4.45 5

LATIN AMERICA: MOBILE TELEPHONES

5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.10 5.11 5.12 5.13 5.14 5.15 5.16 5.17 5.18 5.19 5.20 5.21 6

Ukraine United Kingdom Executive Summary Argentina Belize Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Costa Rica Ecuador El Salvador Guatemala Guyana Honduras Mexico Nicaragua Panama Paraguay Peru Suriname Uruguay Venezuela

NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: MOBILE TELEPHONES

6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.10 6.11 6.12 6.13 6.14 6.15 6.16 6.17 6.18

Executive Summary Antigua and Barbuda Bahamas Barbados Bermuda Canada Cuba Dominica Dominican Republic Grenada Haiti Jamaica Martinique Netherlands Antilles St. Kitts and Nevis St. Lucia St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago


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78 78 79

79 80 81 81 82 82 83 83 84 84 85 85 86 86 87 87 88 88 89 89 90 91

91 93 93 94 94 95 95 96 96 97 97 98 98 99 99 100 100 101 Ó2002 Icon Group Ltd.

Contents

6.19 7

102

Executive Summary American Samoa Australia Fiji Kiribati Marshall Islands Micronesia Federation Nauru New Zealand Palau Solomon Islands Tonga Tuvalu Vanuatu

102 103 104 104 105 105 106 106 107 107 108 108 109 109

THE MIDDLE EAST: MOBILE TELEPHONES

8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8 8.9 8.10 8.11 8.12 8.13 8.14 8.15 8.16 8.17 8.18 8.19 8.20 8.21 8.22 8.23 9

101

OCEANA: MOBILE TELEPHONES

7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.9 7.10 7.11 7.12 7.13 7.14 8

United States

110

Executive Summary Afghanistan Armenia Azerbaijan Bahrain Iran Iraq Israel Jordan Kuwait Kyrgyzstan Lebanon Oman Pakistan Qatar Saudi Arabia Syrian Arab Republic Tajikistan Turkey Turkmenistan United Arab Emirates Uzbekistan Yemen

110 112 112 113 113 114 114 115 115 116 116 117 117 118 118 119 119 120 120 121 121 122 122

DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS

9.1 9.2

Disclaimers & Safe Harbor Icon Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions


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123 124 Ó2002 Icon Group Ltd.

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1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 OVERVIEW The liberalization of markets has lead to record levels of international investments. Icon Group’s primary mission is to assist international managers to better plan and implement strategies in a global economy. It does so by providing various specialized industry reports, databases, publications and services to its clients. This report is one of many published by Icon Group Ltd. to assist executives and planners in monitoring and analyzing world markets. In addition to industry-specific studies, Icon Group Ltd.’s reports cover human resources management, export strategies, investment strategies, entry & marketing strategies, political and economic risk assessments and legal trends (e.g., intellectual property, licensing, and corruption). This report covers the world outlook for mobile telephones across 235 countries. For each year reported, the estimates are given for the latent demand for the country in question. Icon Group uses a number of proprietary econometric models which project economic changes within each country and across countries. From there, market potential estimates are created. The units used in this report are: million US $. As shown in the report, the market potential for mobile telephones is expected to reach $46,874.78 million by 2005. The distribution of the world market, however, will not be evenly distributed across regions. Europe will be the largest market with $16,862.82 million or 35.97 percent, followed by North America & the Caribbean with $12,149.42 million or 25.92 percent, and then Asia with $10,334.64 million or 22.05 percent of the world market. In essence, if a firm targets these top 3 regions, they cover come 83.94 percent of the world wide demand for mobile telephones.

1.2 MARKET POTENTIAL ESTIMATION METHODOLOGY Icon Group uses a number of methodologies to create market potential estimates for products and services across markets, whether at the level of a region, country, or city. In this report, two modelling approaches are used. The first involves modelling the economic fundamentals of each market over time. This is based on standard models of economic growth (e.g. focussing on growth of income, or gross domestic product per capita). The second approach is more subtle. The second approach involves collecting information on the market size or market potential for the particular product or service in question, typically in national currency, and translating these into a common currency. Icon Group uses the U.S. dollar as its common currency across markets. For some categories and markets, basic demand indicators are reported in national statistics, as is mostly the case for the United States and other developed markets. In most of the world’s 230 countries, however, few statistics are available. For these, Icon Group uses www.icongroupedition.com


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econometric models to estimate these markets, and forecast these over time. As true for all forward-looking economic forecasts, certain critical assumptions must be made. Two types of assumptions are made for the models used in this report. The first type covers the socioeconomic and global environment. In essence, Icon Group assumes that dynamics seen in the past are likely to continue in the future, without major discontinuous changes. For example, if a city, country or region has not seen civil strife, major recessions, or substantial foreign exchange or currency changes, this is assumed to be the case over the forecast period. Likewise, the worldwide demand is foreseen to progress in a fashion similar to that seen in historical figures, based on aggregated data collected at the national level. The extent to which these assumptions are violated in the future will surely affect the accuracy of the forecasts presented here. The second type of assumption is of greater importance, especially for those markets where insufficient local information is reported in the public domain, or in markets where there is higher uncertainty. Here, we use cross-country econometric models of demand, often called a crosssectional pooled time series models with varying parameters. In simple terms, we assume an underlying consumption function that is allowed to vary over time and across geographic markets. Economists have long proposed various consumption functions. These include John Maynard Keynes, Simon Kuznets, Irving Fisher, Franco Modigliani, Albert Ando, Richard Brumberg, and Milton Friedman. Across these, and other authors, the consumption of a product (as opposed to the amount produced) is foreseen to vary depending on a number of local factors and the time frame that one considers (short-, medium- and long-run). In general, the variance of the market potential across markets is foreseen to be a function of variances in income, wealth, interest rates, expected future income, and a variety of exogenous factors, including geography and culture. Icon Group forecasts primarily rely on non-cultural economic factors in modelling cross-market demand, for a given product or service. We also model the market potential using a consumption function which assumes a constant average propensity to consume in the long run (i.e. as incomes rise, average consumption rates do not fall, as earlier argued by Keynes). Once the cross-market model of demand is specified, it is combined with the local economic models described above. As in all econometric exercises, the lack of local market figures in the public domain results in estimation errors. Furthermore, many intervening factors may arise over time that can materially affect the accuracy of the forecasts, including changes in local economic conditions, changes in political regimes, improvements in primary data, and currency fluctuations, among other factors. As the estimates and forecasts reported here are forwardlooking and subject to assumption-induced errors, you are asked to read the caveats and disclaimers at the end of this report.



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1.3 THE WORLDWIDE MARKET POTENTIAL FOR MOBILE TELEPHONES Worldwide Market Potential for Mobile Telephones (million US $): 2000 Region

Latent Demand million US $

% of Globe

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Europe North America & the Caribbean Asia Latin America Middle East Oceana Africa Total

11,181 8,902 7,446 1,971 1,740 638 556 32,434

34.5 27.4 23.0 6.1 5.4 2.0 1.7 100.0

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Source: Icon Group Ltd., copyright 2000, www.icongroupedition.com

Worldwide Market Potential for Mobile Telephones (million US $): 2000

Asia North America & the Caribbean

Latin America Other Europe

World Market for Mobile Telephones: 1995 - 2005 Year

World Market million US $

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

16,207.90 20,319.93 23,862.11 28,156.74 30,407.51 32,445.31 34,855.00 37,501.90 40,373.65 43,490.55 46,874.78

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2 AFRICA: MOBILE TELEPHONES 2.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Africa (million US $): 2000

Country


% of Africa

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

South Africa Algeria Egypt Nigeria Libya Morocco Tunisia Cameroon Sudan Ivory coast Angola Kenya Congo (formerly Zaire) Tanzania Ghana Ethiopia Zimbabwe Senegal Uganda Gabon Botswana Zambia Burkina Faso Madagascar Guinea Other Total

293 95 56 36 20 7 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 10 556

52.60% 17.11% 9.96% 6.39% 3.53% 1.28% 0.72% 0.70% 0.56% 0.53% 0.49% 0.49% 0.48% 0.35% 0.34% 0.33% 0.32% 0.30% 0.29% 0.27% 0.19% 0.18% 0.16% 0.15% 0.14% 2.10% 100.00%

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Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Africa (million US $): 2000 Algeria

Egypt Nigeria

Other South Africa

The Market for Mobile Telephones in Africa: 1995 - 2005 Year

million US $

% of Globe

307.10 318.32 378.47 498.31 534.86 557.33 582.70 610.38 640.39 672.99 708.42

1.89 1.57 1.59 1.77 1.76 1.72 1.67 1.63 1.59 1.55 1.51

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




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ALGERIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Algeria 1995 - 2005

Year

Algeria

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

36 40 48 76 87 95 105 115 127 139 153

11.84% 12.58% 12.73% 15.16% 16.22% 17.11% 17.98% 18.87% 19.77% 20.67% 21.59%

0.22% 0.19% 0.20% 0.26% 0.28% 0.29% 0.30% 0.30% 0.31% 0.31% 0.32%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.3

ANGOLA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Angola 1995 - 2005

Year

Angola

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

0.99% 0.85% 0.73% 0.55% 0.51% 0.49% 0.48% 0.48% 0.47% 0.46% 0.45%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




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15

BENIN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Benin 1995 - 2005

Year

Benin

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.22% 0.19% 0.16% 0.12% 0.11% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.5

BOTSWANA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Botswana 1995 - 2005

Year

Botswana

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.35% 0.31% 0.27% 0.20% 0.19% 0.19% 0.18% 0.18% 0.17% 0.17% 0.16%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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16

BURKINA FASO Mobile Telephones (million US $): Burkina Faso 1995 - 2005

Year

Burkina Faso

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.33% 0.28% 0.24% 0.18% 0.17% 0.16% 0.16% 0.16% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.7

BURUNDI Mobile Telephones (million US $): Burundi 1995 - 2005

Year

Burundi

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.12% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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CAMEROON Mobile Telephones (million US $): Cameroon 1995 - 2005

Year

Cameroon

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

1.34% 1.17% 1.01% 0.78% 0.73% 0.70% 0.69% 0.67% 0.65% 0.64% 0.62%

0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.9

CAPE VERDE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Cape Verde 1995 - 2005

Year

Cape Verde

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.10 CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC Mobile Telephones (million US $): Central African Republic 1995 - 2005 Year

Central African Republic

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.13% 0.11% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.11 CHAD Mobile Telephones (million US $): Chad 1995 - 2005 Year

Chad

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.13% 0.11% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.12 COMOROS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Comoros 1995 - 2005 Year

Comoros

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.13 CONGO (FORMERLY ZAIRE) Mobile Telephones (million US $): Congo (formerly Zaire) 1995 - 2005 Year

Congo (formerly Zaire)

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

0.82% 0.73% 0.65% 0.51% 0.49% 0.48% 0.46% 0.44% 0.42% 0.40% 0.38%

0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.14 DJIBOUTI Mobile Telephones (million US $): Djibouti 1995 - 2005 Year

Djibouti

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.15 EGYPT Mobile Telephones (million US $): Egypt 1995 - 2005 Year

Egypt

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

23 25 29 45 51 56 61 67 73 80 87

7.57% 7.78% 7.79% 8.94% 9.49% 9.96% 10.43% 10.90% 11.38% 11.86% 12.34%

0.14% 0.12% 0.12% 0.15% 0.16% 0.17% 0.17% 0.17% 0.18% 0.18% 0.18%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.16 EQUATORIAL GUINEA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Equatorial Guinea 1995 - 2005 Year

Equatorial Guinea

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.17 ERITREA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Eritrea 1995 - 2005 Year

Eritrea

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.18 ETHIOPIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Ethiopia 1995 - 2005 Year

Ethiopia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.64% 0.55% 0.48% 0.37% 0.34% 0.33% 0.32% 0.31% 0.31% 0.30% 0.29%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.19 GABON Mobile Telephones (million US $): Gabon 1995 - 2005 Year

Gabon

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.52% 0.45% 0.39% 0.30% 0.28% 0.27% 0.26% 0.26% 0.25% 0.24% 0.24%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.20 GHANA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Ghana 1995 - 2005 Year

Ghana

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.70% 0.60% 0.51% 0.39% 0.36% 0.34% 0.34% 0.33% 0.33% 0.33% 0.32%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.21 GUINEA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Guinea 1995 - 2005 Year

Guinea

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.29% 0.25% 0.22% 0.16% 0.15% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% 0.13%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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2.22 GUINEA-BISSAU Mobile Telephones (million US $): Guinea-Bissau 1995 - 2005 Year

Guinea-Bissau

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.23 IVORY COAST Mobile Telephones (million US $): Ivory coast 1995 - 2005 Year

Ivory coast

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4

1.09% 0.94% 0.80% 0.61% 0.56% 0.53% 0.53% 0.52% 0.52% 0.51% 0.50%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

25

2.24 KENYA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Kenya 1995 - 2005 Year

Kenya

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

1.00% 0.86% 0.74% 0.56% 0.51% 0.49% 0.48% 0.48% 0.47% 0.47% 0.46%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.25 LESOTHO Mobile Telephones (million US $): Lesotho 1995 - 2005 Year

Lesotho

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.11% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

26

2.26 LIBERIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Liberia 1995 - 2005 Year

Liberia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.11% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.27 LIBYA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Libya 1995 - 2005 Year

Libya

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

11 11 13 17 18 20 21 23 25 26 29

3.73% 3.45% 3.34% 3.34% 3.43% 3.53% 3.63% 3.73% 3.83% 3.93% 4.03%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

27

2.28 MADAGASCAR Mobile Telephones (million US $): Madagascar 1995 - 2005 Year

Madagascar

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.30% 0.26% 0.23% 0.17% 0.16% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.29 MALAWI Mobile Telephones (million US $): Malawi 1995 - 2005 Year

Malawi

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.22% 0.18% 0.15% 0.11% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

28

2.30 MALI Mobile Telephones (million US $): Mali 1995 - 2005 Year

Mali

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.27% 0.23% 0.20% 0.15% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.12%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.31 MAURITANIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Mauritania 1995 - 2005 Year

Mauritania

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.11% 0.10% 0.08% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

29

2.32 MAURITIUS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Mauritius 1995 - 2005 Year

Mauritius

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.25% 0.22% 0.19% 0.14% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.33 MOROCCO Mobile Telephones (million US $): Morocco 1995 - 2005 Year

Morocco

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

2.21% 1.96% 1.74% 1.36% 1.30% 1.28% 1.23% 1.18% 1.13% 1.07% 1.02%

0.04% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

30

2.34 MOZAMBIQUE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Mozambique 1995 - 2005 Year

Mozambique

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1

0.15% 0.13% 0.11% 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.08% 0.08% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.35 NAMIBIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Namibia 1995 - 2005 Year

Namibia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.19% 0.16% 0.14% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

31

2.36 NIGER Mobile Telephones (million US $): Niger 1995 - 2005 Year

Niger

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.28% 0.24% 0.20% 0.15% 0.14% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.37 NIGERIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Nigeria 1995 - 2005 Year

Nigeria

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

17 17 20 29 33 36 39 42 46 50 55

5.44% 5.37% 5.31% 5.83% 6.12% 6.39% 6.65% 6.92% 7.18% 7.45% 7.72%

0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

32

2.38 REPUBLIC OF CONGO Mobile Telephones (million US $): Republic of Congo 1995 - 2005 Year

Republic of Congo

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.25% 0.21% 0.18% 0.14% 0.13% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.11% 0.11%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.39 RWANDA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Rwanda 1995 - 2005 Year

Rwanda

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.20% 0.18% 0.16% 0.12% 0.12% 0.11% 0.11% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

33

2.40 SAO TOME E PRINCIPE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Sao Tome E Principe 1995 - 2005 Year

Sao Tome E Principe

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.41 SENEGAL Mobile Telephones (million US $): Senegal 1995 - 2005 Year

Senegal

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.62% 0.53% 0.46% 0.34% 0.32% 0.30% 0.30% 0.30% 0.29% 0.29% 0.28%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

34

2.42 SIERRA LEONE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Sierra Leone 1995 - 2005 Year

Sierra Leone

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.11% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.43 SOMALIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Somalia 1995 - 2005 Year

Somalia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.13% 0.12% 0.10% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

35

2.44 SOUTH AFRICA Mobile Telephones (million US $): South Africa 1995 - 2005 Year

South Africa

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

158 170 211 275 289 293 298 303 308 314 319

51.49% 53.48% 55.80% 55.19% 53.96% 52.60% 51.13% 49.63% 48.11% 46.58% 45.06%

0.97% 0.83% 0.88% 0.97% 0.94% 0.90% 0.85% 0.80% 0.76% 0.72% 0.68%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.45 SUDAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Sudan 1995 - 2005 Year

Sudan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

1.03% 0.90% 0.79% 0.61% 0.58% 0.56% 0.55% 0.53% 0.51% 0.49% 0.47%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

36

2.46 SWAZILAND Mobile Telephones (million US $): Swaziland 1995 - 2005 Year

Swaziland

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 0.00% 0.04%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.47 TANZANIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Tanzania 1995 - 2005 Year

Tanzania

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.69% 0.60% 0.51% 0.39% 0.37% 0.35% 0.34% 0.34% 0.33% 0.32% 0.32%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

37

2.48 THE GAMBIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): The Gambia 1995 - 2005 Year

The Gambia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.49 TOGO Mobile Telephones (million US $): Togo 1995 - 2005 Year

Togo

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1

0.16% 0.14% 0.12% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

38

2.50 TUNISIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Tunisia 1995 - 2005 Year

Tunisia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5

1.46% 1.26% 1.08% 0.82% 0.76% 0.72% 0.71% 0.70% 0.70% 0.69% 0.67%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.51 UGANDA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Uganda 1995 - 2005 Year

Uganda

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.62% 0.53% 0.45% 0.34% 0.31% 0.29% 0.29% 0.29% 0.29% 0.29% 0.29%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

39

2.52 ZAMBIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Zambia 1995 - 2005 Year

Zambia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.33% 0.29% 0.25% 0.19% 0.18% 0.18% 0.17% 0.17% 0.16% 0.15% 0.15%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.53 ZIMBABWE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Zimbabwe 1995 - 2005 Year

Zimbabwe

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.58% 0.51% 0.45% 0.35% 0.33% 0.32% 0.31% 0.30% 0.29% 0.28% 0.26%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

40

3 ASIA: MOBILE TELEPHONES 3.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Asia (million US $): 2000

Country


% of Asia

4,286 822 654 528 234 234 215 175 87 79 52 44 16 6 5 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 7,446

57.56% 11.04% 8.78% 7.08% 3.14% 3.13% 2.88% 2.34% 1.17% 1.06% 0.69% 0.58% 0.21% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.34% 100.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Japan China India South Korea Thailand Taiwan Indonesia Hong Kong Malaysia Philippines Singapore Burma North Korea Bangladesh Vietnam Sri Lanka Brunei Papua New Guinea Mongolia Nepal Cambodia Macau Laos Seychelles Bhutan Other Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

41

Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Asia (million US $): 2000 China

India South Korea

Japan

Other

The Market for Mobile Telephones in Asia: 1995 - 2005 Year

million US $

% of Globe

3,752.84 4,677.05 5,507.97 6,504.47 7,005.98 7,446.19 7,938.27 8,471.42 9,046.10 9,665.88 10,334.64

23.15 23.02 23.08 23.10 23.04 22.95 22.78 22.59 22.41 22.23 22.05

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

3.2

42

BANGLADESH Mobile Telephones (million US $): Bangladesh 1995 - 2005

Year

Bangladesh

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

7 6 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 8

0.19% 0.13% 0.11% 0.10% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.3

BHUTAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Bhutan 1995 - 2005

Year

Bhutan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

3.4

43

BRUNEI Mobile Telephones (million US $): Brunei 1995 - 2005

Year

Brunei

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.00% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.5

BURMA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Burma 1995 - 2005

Year

Burma

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

19 20 24 35 40 44 48 52 57 62 68

0.51% 0.43% 0.43% 0.54% 0.57% 0.58% 0.59% 0.61% 0.62% 0.64% 0.65%

0.11% 0.00% 0.10% 0.12% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

3.6

44

CAMBODIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Cambodia 1995 - 2005

Year

Cambodia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.7

CHINA Mobile Telephones (million US $): China 1995 - 2005

Year

China

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

441 573 613 678 748 822 905 995 1,094 1,204 1,324

11.74% 12.25% 11.13% 10.42% 10.66% 11.04% 11.39% 11.74% 12.09% 12.45% 12.81%

2.71% 2.82% 2.57% 2.40% 2.45% 2.53% 2.59% 2.65% 2.71% 2.76% 2.82%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

3.8

45

HONG KONG Mobile Telephones (million US $): Hong Kong 1995 - 2005

Year

Hong Kong

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

81 89 109 152 166 175 184 194 205 217 230

2.16% 1.89% 1.97% 2.34% 2.37% 2.34% 2.31% 2.28% 2.26% 2.24% 2.22%

0.50% 0.43% 0.45% 0.54% 0.54% 0.53% 0.52% 0.51% 0.50% 0.49% 0.49%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.9

INDIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): India 1995 - 2005

Year

India

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

341 449 493 540 595 654 719 791 871 958 1,053

9.08% 9.59% 8.94% 8.30% 8.48% 8.78% 9.06% 9.34% 9.62% 9.90% 10.19%

2.10% 2.20% 2.06% 1.91% 1.95% 2.01% 2.06% 2.11% 2.15% 2.20% 2.24%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

46

3.10 INDONESIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Indonesia 1995 - 2005 Year

Indonesia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

97 118 168 199 208 215 222 230 238 247 257

2.58% 2.51% 3.05% 3.06% 2.97% 2.88% 2.80% 2.71% 2.63% 2.55% 2.48%

0.59% 0.57% 0.70% 0.70% 0.68% 0.66% 0.63% 0.61% 0.59% 0.56% 0.54%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.11 JAPAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Japan 1995 - 2005 Year

Japan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2,177 2,681 3,204 3,844 4,095 4,286 4,504 4,736 4,980 5,237 5,506

58.00% 57.32% 58.16% 59.09% 58.45% 57.56% 56.74% 55.90% 55.05% 54.17% 53.28%

13.43% 13.19% 13.42% 13.65% 13.46% 13.21% 12.92% 12.62% 12.33% 12.04% 11.74%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

47

3.12 LAOS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Laos 1995 - 2005 Year

Laos

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.13 MACAU Mobile Telephones (million US $): Macau 1995 - 2005 Year

Macau

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

48

3.14 MALAYSIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Malaysia 1995 - 2005 Year

Malaysia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

34 37 44 69 80 87 96 105 116 127 140

0.89% 0.79% 0.80% 1.06% 1.13% 1.17% 1.20% 1.24% 1.28% 1.31% 1.35%

0.20% 0.18% 0.18% 0.24% 0.26% 0.26% 0.27% 0.28% 0.28% 0.29% 0.29%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.15 MALDIVES Mobile Telephones (million US $): Maldives 1995 - 2005 Year

Maldives

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

49

3.16 MONGOLIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Mongolia 1995 - 2005 Year

Mongolia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.17 NEPAL Mobile Telephones (million US $): Nepal 1995 - 2005 Year

Nepal

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

50

3.18 NORTH KOREA Mobile Telephones (million US $): North Korea 1995 - 2005 Year

North Korea

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

10 9 11 14 15 16 17 18 19 21 22

0.27% 0.20% 0.19% 0.20% 0.21% 0.21% 0.21% 0.21% 0.21% 0.21% 0.21%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.04%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.19 PAPUA NEW GUINEA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Papua New Guinea 1995 - 2005 Year

Papua New Guinea

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

51

3.20 PHILIPPINES Mobile Telephones (million US $): Philippines 1995 - 2005 Year

Philippines

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

31 34 41 63 72 79 87 96 105 115 127

0.82% 0.72% 0.73% 0.97% 1.03% 1.06% 1.09% 1.13% 1.16% 1.19% 1.22%

0.19% 0.16% 0.17% 0.22% 0.23% 0.24% 0.25% 0.25% 0.26% 0.26% 0.27%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.21 SEYCHELLES Mobile Telephones (million US $): Seychelles 1995 - 2005 Year

Seychelles

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

52

3.22 SINGAPORE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Singapore 1995 - 2005 Year

Singapore

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

22 23 28 41 47 52 56 62 68 74 81

0.58% 0.49% 0.50% 0.63% 0.67% 0.69% 0.71% 0.72% 0.74% 0.76% 0.78%

0.13% 0.11% 0.11% 0.14% 0.15% 0.15% 0.16% 0.16% 0.16% 0.16% 0.17%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.23 SOUTH KOREA Mobile Telephones (million US $): South Korea 1995 - 2005 Year

South Korea

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

266 356 402 437 480 528 581 639 703 773 850

7.08% 7.60% 7.29% 6.72% 6.85% 7.08% 7.31% 7.54% 7.76% 7.99% 8.22%

1.64% 1.75% 1.68% 1.55% 1.57% 1.62% 1.66% 1.70% 1.74% 1.77% 1.81%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

53

3.24 SRI LANKA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Sri Lanka 1995 - 2005 Year

Sri Lanka

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.25 TAIWAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Taiwan 1995 - 2005 Year

Taiwan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

91 138 191 196 212 234 257 283 311 342 376

2.43% 2.95% 3.46% 3.01% 3.03% 3.13% 3.23% 3.33% 3.43% 3.53% 3.63%

0.56% 0.67% 0.79% 0.69% 0.69% 0.71% 0.73% 0.75% 0.76% 0.78% 0.80%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

54

3.26 THAILAND Mobile Telephones (million US $): Thailand 1995 - 2005 Year

Thailand

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

120 129 160 214 227 234 241 248 257 265 275

3.19% 2.76% 2.90% 3.28% 3.24% 3.14% 3.03% 2.93% 2.83% 2.74% 2.65%

0.73% 0.63% 0.67% 0.75% 0.74% 0.72% 0.69% 0.66% 0.63% 0.61% 0.58%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.27 VIETNAM Mobile Telephones (million US $): Vietnam 1995 - 2005 Year

Vietnam

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6

0.14% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

55

4 EUROPE: MOBILE TELEPHONES 4.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Europe (million US $): 2000

Country


% of Europe

2,314 1,514 991 948 906 780 486 444 402 323 276 264 204 191 161 149 145 115 107 107 91 75 64 48 12 63 11,181

20.69% 13.54% 8.85% 8.48% 8.10% 6.97% 4.34% 3.96% 3.59% 2.88% 2.46% 2.35% 1.82% 1.71% 1.44% 1.33% 1.29% 1.03% 0.96% 0.95% 0.81% 0.67% 0.56% 0.42% 0.10% 0.70% 100.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Germany France Italy United Kingdom Russia Spain Netherlands Ukraine Switzerland Finland Sweden Denmark Portugal Belgium Austria Norway Greece Romania Poland Czech Republic Kazakhstan Belarus Hungary Ireland Slovakia Other Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

56

Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Europe (million US $): 2000

Italy

United Kingdom

France

Other Germany

The Market for Mobile Telephones in Europe: 1995 - 2005 Year

million US $

% of Globe

5,210.27 6,728.60 8,002.69 9,485.66 10,357.33 11,181.93 12,120.17 13,151.91 14,279.94 15,513.52 16,862.82

32.15 33.11 33.54 33.69 34.06 34.46 34.77 35.07 35.37 35.67 35.97

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

4.2

57

ALBANIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Albania 1995 - 2005

Year

Albania

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.3

ANDORRA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Andorra 1995 - 2005

Year

Andorra

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

4.4

58

AUSTRIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Austria 1995 - 2005

Year

Austria

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

57 81 134 146 153 161 170 180 191 202 215

1.08% 1.20% 1.67% 1.53% 1.47% 1.44% 1.40% 1.36% 1.33% 1.30% 1.27%

0.34% 0.40% 0.56% 0.51% 0.50% 0.49% 0.48% 0.47% 0.47% 0.46% 0.45%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.5

BELARUS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Belarus 1995 - 2005

Year

Belarus

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

30 32 39 60 69 75 83 91 100 110 120

0.57% 0.48% 0.48% 0.63% 0.66% 0.67% 0.68% 0.69% 0.69% 0.70% 0.71%

0.18% 0.15% 0.16% 0.21% 0.22% 0.23% 0.23% 0.24% 0.24% 0.25% 0.25%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

4.6

59

BELGIUM Mobile Telephones (million US $): Belgium 1995 - 2005

Year

Belgium

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

66 107 160 162 174 191 211 232 255 280 308

1.27% 1.59% 2.00% 1.70% 1.68% 1.71% 1.73% 1.76% 1.78% 1.80% 1.82%

0.40% 0.52% 0.67% 0.57% 0.57% 0.59% 0.60% 0.61% 0.63% 0.64% 0.65%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.7

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Bosnia and Herzegovina 1995 - 2005

Year

Bosnia and Herzegovina

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

0.05% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

4.8

60

BULGARIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Bulgaria 1995 - 2005

Year

Bulgaria

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

8 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9

0.14% 0.09% 0.08% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.9

CROATIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Croatia 1995 - 2005

Year

Croatia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

8 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8

0.14% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.04%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

61

4.10 CYPRUS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Cyprus 1995 - 2005 Year

Cyprus

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.11 CZECH REPUBLIC Mobile Telephones (million US $): Czech Republic 1995 - 2005 Year

Czech Republic

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

40 45 54 85 98 107 118 130 143 157 173

0.77% 0.66% 0.67% 0.89% 0.94% 0.95% 0.97% 0.98% 0.99% 1.01% 1.02%

0.24% 0.21% 0.22% 0.30% 0.32% 0.33% 0.33% 0.34% 0.35% 0.36% 0.36%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

62

4.12 DENMARK Mobile Telephones (million US $): Denmark 1995 - 2005 Year

Denmark

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

139 150 186 244 258 264 269 276 282 289 297

2.66% 2.22% 2.31% 2.57% 2.49% 2.35% 2.22% 2.09% 1.97% 1.86% 1.76%

0.85% 0.73% 0.77% 0.86% 0.84% 0.81% 0.77% 0.73% 0.69% 0.66% 0.63%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.13 ESTONIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Estonia 1995 - 2005 Year

Estonia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3

0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

63

4.14 FINLAND Mobile Telephones (million US $): Finland 1995 - 2005 Year

Finland

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

177 191 237 306 319 323 326 330 334 338 341

3.40% 2.83% 2.95% 3.22% 3.08% 2.88% 2.69% 2.51% 2.33% 2.17% 2.02%

1.09% 0.93% 0.99% 1.08% 1.04% 0.99% 0.93% 0.88% 0.82% 0.77% 0.72%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.15 FRANCE Mobile Telephones (million US $): France 1995 - 2005 Year

France

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

331 537 802 1,206 1,377 1,514 1,666 1,832 2,015 2,217 2,439

6.34% 7.98% 10.01% 12.71% 13.29% 13.54% 13.74% 13.93% 14.11% 14.29% 14.46%

2.04% 2.64% 3.35% 4.28% 4.52% 4.66% 4.77% 4.88% 4.99% 5.09% 5.20%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

64

4.16 GEORGIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Georgia 1995 - 2005 Year

Georgia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6

0.10% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.17 GERMANY Mobile Telephones (million US $): Germany 1995 - 2005 Year

Germany

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1,224 1,493 1,769 2,103 2,224 2,314 2,444 2,589 2,741 2,903 3,074

23.48% 22.19% 22.09% 22.17% 21.46% 20.69% 20.16% 19.68% 19.19% 18.71% 18.23%

7.55% 7.34% 7.41% 7.47% 7.31% 7.13% 7.01% 6.90% 6.78% 6.67% 6.55%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

65

4.18 GREECE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Greece 1995 - 2005 Year

Greece

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

62 68 83 122 135 145 155 167 179 193 208

1.19% 1.01% 1.03% 1.28% 1.30% 1.29% 1.28% 1.26% 1.25% 1.24% 1.23%

0.38% 0.33% 0.34% 0.43% 0.44% 0.44% 0.44% 0.44% 0.44% 0.44% 0.44%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.19 HUNGARY Mobile Telephones (million US $): Hungary 1995 - 2005 Year

Hungary

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

26 28 33 51 58 64 70 76 84 92 101

0.49% 0.41% 0.41% 0.53% 0.55% 0.56% 0.57% 0.58% 0.58% 0.59% 0.59%

0.15% 0.13% 0.13% 0.18% 0.19% 0.19% 0.19% 0.20% 0.20% 0.21% 0.21%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

66

4.20 ICELAND Mobile Telephones (million US $): Iceland 1995 - 2005 Year

Iceland

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.21 IRELAND Mobile Telephones (million US $): Ireland 1995 - 2005 Year

Ireland

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

21 22 26 38 44 48 52 57 62 68 74

0.39% 0.32% 0.32% 0.40% 0.42% 0.42% 0.42% 0.43% 0.43% 0.43% 0.44%

0.12% 0.10% 0.10% 0.13% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

67

4.22 ITALY Mobile Telephones (million US $): Italy 1995 - 2005 Year

Italy

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

540 697 734 816 900 991 1,090 1,199 1,318 1,450 1,595

10.37% 10.36% 9.17% 8.60% 8.69% 8.85% 8.98% 9.11% 9.23% 9.34% 9.46%

3.33% 3.43% 3.07% 2.89% 2.96% 3.05% 3.12% 3.19% 3.26% 3.33% 3.40%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.23 KAZAKHSTAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Kazakhstan 1995 - 2005 Year

Kazakhstan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

35 39 46 72 83 91 100 110 121 133 146

0.67% 0.57% 0.57% 0.76% 0.80% 0.81% 0.82% 0.83% 0.84% 0.85% 0.86%

0.21% 0.18% 0.19% 0.25% 0.27% 0.28% 0.28% 0.29% 0.30% 0.30% 0.31%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

68

4.24 LATVIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Latvia 1995 - 2005 Year

Latvia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

0.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.25 LIECHTENSTEIN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Liechtenstein 1995 - 2005 Year

Liechtenstein

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

69

4.26 LITHUANIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Lithuania 1995 - 2005 Year

Lithuania

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6

0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.27 LUXEMBOURG Mobile Telephones (million US $): Luxembourg 1995 - 2005 Year

Luxembourg

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

70

4.28 MACEDONIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Macedonia 1995 - 2005 Year

Macedonia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.03% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.29 MALTA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Malta 1995 - 2005 Year

Malta

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

71

4.30 MOLDOVA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Moldova 1995 - 2005 Year

Moldova

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.31 MONACO Mobile Telephones (million US $): Monaco 1995 - 2005 Year

Monaco

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

72

4.32 NETHERLANDS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Netherlands 1995 - 2005 Year

Netherlands

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

241 325 372 403 442 486 534 588 647 711 782

4.62% 4.82% 4.64% 4.24% 4.26% 4.34% 4.40% 4.46% 4.52% 4.58% 4.64%

1.48% 1.59% 1.55% 1.43% 1.45% 1.49% 1.53% 1.56% 1.60% 1.63% 1.66%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.33 NORWAY Mobile Telephones (million US $): Norway 1995 - 2005 Year

Norway

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

41 76 130 127 136 149 164 181 199 219 241

0.79% 1.12% 1.62% 1.34% 1.31% 1.33% 1.35% 1.37% 1.39% 1.41% 1.42%

0.25% 0.37% 0.54% 0.45% 0.44% 0.46% 0.47% 0.48% 0.49% 0.50% 0.51%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

73

4.34 POLAND Mobile Telephones (million US $): Poland 1995 - 2005 Year

Poland

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

16 45 100 93 98 107 118 130 143 157 173

0.31% 0.66% 1.25% 0.97% 0.94% 0.96% 0.97% 0.98% 1.00% 1.01% 1.02%

0.10% 0.22% 0.41% 0.32% 0.32% 0.33% 0.33% 0.34% 0.35% 0.36% 0.36%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.35 PORTUGAL Mobile Telephones (million US $): Portugal 1995 - 2005 Year

Portugal

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

101 109 134 183 197 204 212 221 231 241 252

1.92% 1.61% 1.67% 1.92% 1.89% 1.82% 1.75% 1.68% 1.61% 1.55% 1.49%

0.62% 0.53% 0.56% 0.65% 0.64% 0.62% 0.60% 0.58% 0.57% 0.55% 0.53%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

74

4.36 ROMANIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Romania 1995 - 2005 Year

Romania

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

43 48 58 91 105 115 127 140 153 169 186

0.82% 0.70% 0.71% 0.96% 1.01% 1.03% 1.04% 1.06% 1.07% 1.08% 1.10%

0.26% 0.23% 0.24% 0.32% 0.34% 0.35% 0.36% 0.37% 0.38% 0.38% 0.39%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.37 RUSSIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Russia 1995 - 2005 Year

Russia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

490 635 674 747 824 906 997 1,097 1,206 1,327 1,460

9.41% 9.44% 8.41% 7.87% 7.95% 8.10% 8.22% 8.33% 8.44% 8.55% 8.65%

3.02% 3.12% 2.82% 2.65% 2.70% 2.79% 2.86% 2.92% 2.98% 3.05% 3.11%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

75

4.38 SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO Mobile Telephones (million US $): Serbia and Montenegro 1995 - 2005 Year

Serbia and Montenegro

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9

0.15% 0.11% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.39 SLOVAKIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Slovakia 1995 - 2005 Year

Slovakia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

9 8 9 10 11 12 12 13 14 15 15

0.16% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

76

4.40 SLOVENIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Slovenia 1995 - 2005 Year

Slovenia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7

0.12% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.04% 0.00% 0.04% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.41 SPAIN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Spain 1995 - 2005 Year

Spain

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

416 542 583 644 709 780 858 944 1,038 1,142 1,257

7.97% 8.05% 7.28% 6.78% 6.84% 6.97% 7.08% 7.17% 7.27% 7.36% 7.45%

2.56% 2.66% 2.44% 2.28% 2.33% 2.40% 2.46% 2.51% 2.57% 2.62% 2.68%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

77

4.42 SWEDEN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Sweden 1995 - 2005 Year

Sweden

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

116 169 221 230 251 276 303 333 367 403 444

2.23% 2.51% 2.76% 2.42% 2.41% 2.46% 2.50% 2.53% 2.56% 2.60% 2.63%

0.71% 0.83% 0.92% 0.81% 0.82% 0.84% 0.86% 0.88% 0.90% 0.92% 0.94%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.43 SWITZERLAND Mobile Telephones (million US $): Switzerland 1995 - 2005 Year

Switzerland

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

191 262 311 334 365 402 442 486 535 588 647

3.66% 3.90% 3.89% 3.51% 3.52% 3.59% 3.64% 3.69% 3.74% 3.79% 3.83%

1.17% 1.29% 1.30% 1.18% 1.20% 1.23% 1.26% 1.29% 1.32% 1.35% 1.38%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

78

4.44 UKRAINE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Ukraine 1995 - 2005 Year

Ukraine

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

216 293 342 368 403 444 488 537 591 650 715

4.14% 4.36% 4.26% 3.88% 3.89% 3.96% 4.02% 4.08% 4.13% 4.18% 4.23%

1.33% 1.44% 1.43% 1.30% 1.32% 1.36% 1.40% 1.43% 1.46% 1.49% 1.52%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.45 UNITED KINGDOM Mobile Telephones (million US $): United Kingdom 1995 - 2005 Year

United Kingdom

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

515 666 704 782 862 948 1,043 1,148 1,262 1,389 1,528

9.89% 9.90% 8.79% 8.23% 8.32% 8.48% 8.60% 8.72% 8.84% 8.95% 9.05%

3.18% 3.27% 2.95% 2.77% 2.83% 2.92% 2.99% 3.06% 3.12% 3.19% 3.25%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

79

5 LATIN AMERICA: MOBILE TELEPHONES 5.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Latin America (million US $): 2000 Country


% of Latin America

738 612 360 111 71 32 24 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 1,971

37.45% 31.05% 18.25% 5.64% 3.62% 1.60% 1.20% 0.18% 0.16% 0.14% 0.13% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Brazil Mexico Argentina Venezuela Colombia Chile Peru Guatemala Ecuador Panama Uruguay Paraguay El Salvador Costa Rica Bolivia Honduras Nicaragua Suriname Belize Guyana Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Latin America (million US $): 2000 Argentina Mexico Venezuela Other Brazil



Mobile Telephones

80

The Market for Mobile Telephones in Latin America: 1995 - 2005 Year

million US $

% of Globe

995.45 1,287.34 1,444.76 1,628.03 1,794.66 1,970.77 2,165.00 2,378.67 2,613.62 2,871.99 3,156.11

6.14 6.34 6.05 5.78 5.90 6.07 6.21 6.34 6.47 6.60 6.73

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.2

ARGENTINA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Argentina 1995 - 2005

Year

Argentina

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

166 231 281 299 327 360 396 435 479 527 579

16.68% 17.97% 19.46% 18.38% 18.22% 18.25% 18.27% 18.29% 18.31% 18.33% 18.35%

1.02% 1.13% 1.17% 1.06% 1.07% 1.10% 1.13% 1.16% 1.18% 1.21% 1.23%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

5.3

81

BELIZE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Belize 1995 - 2005

Year

Belize

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.4

BOLIVIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Bolivia 1995 - 2005

Year

Bolivia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.17% 0.12% 0.11% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

5.5

82

BRAZIL Mobile Telephones (million US $): Brazil 1995 - 2005

Year

Brazil

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

391 511 553 609 671 738 812 893 983 1,081 1,189

39.24% 39.69% 38.27% 37.42% 37.39% 37.45% 37.50% 37.55% 37.59% 37.63% 37.66%

2.41% 2.51% 2.31% 2.16% 2.20% 2.27% 2.32% 2.38% 2.43% 2.48% 2.53%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.6

CHILE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Chile 1995 - 2005

Year

Chile

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

15 16 18 26 29 32 34 37 41 44 48

1.54% 1.21% 1.26% 1.59% 1.62% 1.60% 1.58% 1.57% 1.55% 1.54% 1.52%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

5.7

83

COLOMBIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Colombia 1995 - 2005

Year

Colombia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

29 31 37 57 65 71 78 86 94 104 114

2.86% 2.39% 2.55% 3.49% 3.63% 3.62% 3.62% 3.61% 3.61% 3.60% 3.60%

0.17% 0.15% 0.15% 0.20% 0.21% 0.22% 0.22% 0.22% 0.23% 0.23% 0.24%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.8

COSTA RICA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Costa Rica 1995 - 2005

Year

Costa Rica

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.18% 0.12% 0.11% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

5.9

84

ECUADOR Mobile Telephones (million US $): Ecuador 1995 - 2005

Year

Ecuador

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4

0.33% 0.23% 0.21% 0.19% 0.17% 0.16% 0.15% 0.14% 0.13% 0.12% 0.11%

0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.10 EL SALVADOR Mobile Telephones (million US $): El Salvador 1995 - 2005 Year

El Salvador

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.20% 0.13% 0.12% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00%

0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

85

5.11 GUATEMALA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Guatemala 1995 - 2005 Year

Guatemala

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

0.40% 0.27% 0.25% 0.22% 0.20% 0.18% 0.17% 0.16% 0.15% 0.14% 0.13%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.12 GUYANA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Guyana 1995 - 2005 Year

Guyana

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

86

5.13 HONDURAS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Honduras 1995 - 2005 Year

Honduras

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.17% 0.12% 0.11% 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.14 MEXICO Mobile Telephones (million US $): Mexico 1995 - 2005 Year

Mexico

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

316 418 462 506 556 612 673 741 815 896 986

31.72% 32.45% 32.00% 31.07% 31.00% 31.05% 31.09% 31.13% 31.16% 31.19% 31.23%

1.94% 2.05% 1.93% 1.79% 1.82% 1.88% 1.93% 1.97% 2.01% 2.06% 2.10%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

87

5.15 NICARAGUA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Nicaragua 1995 - 2005 Year

Nicaragua

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.16 PANAMA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Panama 1995 - 2005 Year

Panama

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

0.31% 0.21% 0.19% 0.17% 0.16% 0.14% 0.13% 0.12% 0.12% 0.11% 0.10%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

88

5.17 PARAGUAY Mobile Telephones (million US $): Paraguay 1995 - 2005 Year

Paraguay

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.21% 0.15% 0.13% 0.12% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.18 PERU Mobile Telephones (million US $): Peru 1995 - 2005 Year

Peru

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

13 13 15 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 35

1.28% 0.97% 1.00% 1.21% 1.22% 1.20% 1.18% 1.16% 1.14% 1.12% 1.11%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

89

5.19 SURINAME Mobile Telephones (million US $): Suriname 1995 - 2005 Year

Suriname

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.20 URUGUAY Mobile Telephones (million US $): Uruguay 1995 - 2005 Year

Uruguay

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

0.27% 0.19% 0.17% 0.16% 0.15% 0.13% 0.12% 0.11% 0.10% 0.09% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

90

5.21 VENEZUELA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Venezuela 1995 - 2005 Year

Venezuela

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

42 46 56 88 101 111 122 135 148 163 179

4.18% 3.58% 3.85% 5.40% 5.63% 5.64% 5.65% 5.66% 5.66% 5.67% 5.67%

0.25% 0.22% 0.23% 0.31% 0.33% 0.34% 0.35% 0.35% 0.36% 0.37% 0.38%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

91

6 NORTH AMERICA & THE CARIBBEAN: MOBILE TELEPHONES 6.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in North America & the Caribbean (million US $): 2000 Country

Latent Demand million US $ % of North America & the Caribbean

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

United States Canada Cuba Dominican Republic Trinidad and Tobago Jamaica Bahamas Haiti Martinique Barbados Netherlands Antilles Bermuda St. Lucia Antigua and Barbuda Grenada St. Vincent and the Grenadines St. Kitts and Nevis Dominica Total

8,023 864 7 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8,902

90.05% 9.70% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

92

Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in North America & the Caribbean (million US $): 2000

Canada Cuba United States

Dominican Republic Other

The Market for Mobile Telephones in North America & the Caribbean: 1995 - 2005 Year

million US $

% of Globe

4,767.18 5,836.09 6,825.41 8,047.76 8,526.78 8,909.30 9,458.23 10,067.27 10,716.90 11,409.93 12,149.42

29.41 28.72 28.60 28.58 28.04 27.46 27.14 26.84 26.54 26.24 25.92

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

6.2

93

ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Antigua and Barbuda 1995 - 2005

Year

Antigua and Barbuda

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.3

BAHAMAS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Bahamas 1995 - 2005

Year

Bahamas

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

6.4

94

BARBADOS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Barbados 1995 - 2005

Year

Barbados

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.5

BERMUDA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Bermuda 1995 - 2005

Year

Bermuda

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

6.6

95

CANADA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Canada 1995 - 2005

Year

Canada

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

466 604 644 713 786 864 951 1,046 1,150 1,265 1,392

9.76% 10.35% 9.42% 8.85% 9.21% 9.70% 10.05% 10.38% 10.73% 11.09% 11.45%

2.87% 2.97% 2.69% 2.53% 2.58% 2.66% 2.72% 2.78% 2.84% 2.90% 2.96%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.7

CUBA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Cuba 1995 - 2005

Year

Cuba

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

7 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

0.14% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

6.8

96

DOMINICA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Dominica 1995 - 2005

Year

Dominica

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.9

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Mobile Telephones (million US $): Dominican Republic 1995 - 2005

Year

Dominican Republic

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

97

6.10 GRENADA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Grenada 1995 - 2005 Year

Grenada

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.11 HAITI Mobile Telephones (million US $): Haiti 1995 - 2005 Year

Haiti

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

98

6.12 JAMAICA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Jamaica 1995 - 2005 Year

Jamaica

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.13 MARTINIQUE Mobile Telephones (million US $): Martinique 1995 - 2005 Year

Martinique

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

99

6.14 NETHERLANDS ANTILLES Mobile Telephones (million US $): Netherlands Antilles 1995 - 2005 Year

Netherlands Antilles

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.15 ST. KITTS AND NEVIS Mobile Telephones (million US $): St. Kitts and Nevis 1995 - 2005 Year

St. Kitts and Nevis

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

100

6.16 ST. LUCIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): St. Lucia 1995 - 2005 Year

St. Lucia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.17 ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES Mobile Telephones (million US $): St. Vincent and the Grenadines 1995 - 2005 Year St. Vincent and the Grenadines

% of Region

% of Globe

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

101

6.18 TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO Mobile Telephones (million US $): Trinidad and Tobago 1995 - 2005 Year

Trinidad and Tobago

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.19 UNITED STATES Mobile Telephones (million US $): United States 1995 - 2005 Year

United States

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4,278 5,211 6,160 7,313 7,719 8,023 8,485 8,998 9,543 10,120 10,732

89.74% 89.28% 90.25% 90.87% 90.52% 90.05% 89.71% 89.38% 89.04% 88.69% 88.33%

26.39% 25.64% 25.81% 25.97% 25.38% 24.72% 24.34% 23.99% 23.63% 23.26% 22.89%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

102

7 OCEANA: MOBILE TELEPHONES 7.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Oceana (million US $): 2000

Country


% of Oceana

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Australia New Zealand Fiji Solomon Islands American Samoa Nauru Vanuatu Tonga Micronesia Federation Palau Marshall Islands Kiribati Tuvalu Total

570 68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 638

89.10% 10.55% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in Oceana (million US $): 2000

New Zealand Fiji Australia

Solomon Islands Other



Mobile Telephones

103

The Market for Mobile Telephones in Oceana: 1995 - 2005 Year

million US $

% of Globe

320.29 418.07 469.43 527.53 581.87 639.62 703.16 773.04 849.90 934.43 1,027.41

1.98 2.06 1.97 1.87 1.91 1.97 2.02 2.06 2.11 2.15 2.19

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


7.2

AMERICAN SAMOA Mobile Telephones (million US $): American Samoa 1995 - 2005

Year

American Samoa

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

7.3

104

AUSTRALIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Australia 1995 - 2005

Year

Australia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

291 387 432 472 518 570 627 690 759 834 918

90.81% 92.50% 92.08% 89.38% 89.04% 89.10% 89.16% 89.21% 89.25% 89.30% 89.34%

1.79% 1.90% 1.81% 1.67% 1.70% 1.75% 1.79% 1.83% 1.87% 1.91% 1.95%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


7.4

FIJI Mobile Telephones (million US $): Fiji 1995 - 2005

Year

Fiji

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.12% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.04%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

7.5

105

KIRIBATI Mobile Telephones (million US $): Kiribati 1995 - 2005

Year

Kiribati

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


7.6

MARSHALL ISLANDS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Marshall Islands 1995 - 2005

Year

Marshall Islands

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

7.7

106

MICRONESIA FEDERATION Mobile Telephones (million US $): Micronesia Federation 1995 - 2005

Year

Micronesia Federation

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


7.8

NAURU Mobile Telephones (million US $): Nauru 1995 - 2005

Year

Nauru

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

7.9

107

NEW ZEALAND Mobile Telephones (million US $): New Zealand 1995 - 2005

Year

New Zealand

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

27 29 35 54 62 68 74 81 89 98 107

8.49% 7.02% 7.47% 10.21% 10.58% 10.55% 10.52% 10.49% 10.47% 10.44% 10.42%

0.16% 0.14% 0.14% 0.19% 0.20% 0.20% 0.21% 0.21% 0.22% 0.22% 0.22%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


7.10 PALAU Mobile Telephones (million US $): Palau 1995 - 2005 Year

Palau

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

108

7.11 SOLOMON ISLANDS Mobile Telephones (million US $): Solomon Islands 1995 - 2005 Year

Solomon Islands

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


7.12 TONGA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Tonga 1995 - 2005 Year

Tonga

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

109

7.13 TUVALU Mobile Telephones (million US $): Tuvalu 1995 - 2005 Year

Tuvalu

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


7.14 VANUATU Mobile Telephones (million US $): Vanuatu 1995 - 2005 Year

Vanuatu

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

110

8 THE MIDDLE EAST: MOBILE TELEPHONES 8.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in the Middle East (million US $): 2000 Country


% of the Middle East

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Iran Turkey Saudi Arabia Israel Uzbekistan Pakistan Iraq United Arab Emirates Syrian Arab Republic Azerbaijan Kuwait Armenia Oman Tajikistan Kyrgyzstan Turkmenistan Yemen Qatar Jordan Lebanon Afghanistan Bahrain Total

696 318 269 103 99 83 60 40 28 7 6 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1,740

40.00% 18.25% 15.45% 5.93% 5.71% 4.79% 3.42% 2.27% 1.59% 0.40% 0.36% 0.22% 0.22% 0.21% 0.20% 0.20% 0.18% 0.13% 0.13% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

111

Market Potential for Mobile Telephones in the Middle East (million US $): 2000 Saudi Arabia Turkey

Israel

Other Iran

The Market for Mobile Telephones in the Middle East: 1995 - 2005 Year

million US $

% of Globe

854.78 1,054.47 1,233.40 1,464.99 1,606.04 1,740.16 1,887.48 2,049.21 2,226.79 2,421.80 2,635.96

5.27 5.19 5.17 5.20 5.28 5.36 5.42 5.46 5.52 5.57 5.62

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

8.2

112

AFGHANISTAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Afghanistan 1995 - 2005

Year

Afghanistan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.13% 0.09% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.3

ARMENIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Armenia 1995 - 2005

Year

Armenia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5

0.52% 0.37% 0.32% 0.27% 0.24% 0.22% 0.21% 0.20% 0.19% 0.18% 0.18%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

8.4

113

AZERBAIJAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Azerbaijan 1995 - 2005

Year

Azerbaijan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7

0.71% 0.54% 0.49% 0.44% 0.42% 0.40% 0.36% 0.33% 0.30% 0.27% 0.24%

0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.5

BAHRAIN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Bahrain 1995 - 2005

Year

Bahrain

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

0.12% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

8.6

114

IRAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Iran 1995 - 2005

Year

Iran

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

366 480 523 575 633 696 766 842 927 1,019 1,121

42.78% 45.51% 42.39% 39.24% 39.40% 40.00% 40.56% 41.10% 41.60% 42.08% 42.53%

2.25% 2.36% 2.19% 2.04% 2.08% 2.14% 2.19% 2.24% 2.29% 2.34% 2.39%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.7

IRAQ Mobile Telephones (million US $): Iraq 1995 - 2005

Year

Iraq

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

25 26 31 48 54 60 65 71 78 86 94

2.87% 2.49% 2.54% 3.25% 3.38% 3.42% 3.45% 3.48% 3.51% 3.54% 3.56%

0.15% 0.12% 0.13% 0.16% 0.17% 0.18% 0.18% 0.19% 0.19% 0.19% 0.20%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

8.8

115

ISRAEL Mobile Telephones (million US $): Israel 1995 - 2005

Year

Israel

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

39 43 52 82 94 103 114 125 137 151 166

4.56% 4.08% 4.21% 5.58% 5.85% 5.93% 6.02% 6.09% 6.16% 6.23% 6.29%

0.24% 0.21% 0.21% 0.29% 0.30% 0.31% 0.32% 0.33% 0.34% 0.34% 0.35%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.9

JORDAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Jordan 1995 - 2005

Year

Jordan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3

0.31% 0.22% 0.19% 0.16% 0.14% 0.13% 0.12% 0.12% 0.11% 0.11% 0.10%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

116

8.10 KUWAIT Mobile Telephones (million US $): Kuwait 1995 - 2005 Year

Kuwait

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7

0.80% 0.58% 0.51% 0.43% 0.39% 0.36% 0.34% 0.33% 0.31% 0.29% 0.28%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.01%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.11 KYRGYZSTAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Kyrgyzstan 1995 - 2005 Year

Kyrgyzstan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

0.40% 0.30% 0.27% 0.23% 0.22% 0.20% 0.19% 0.17% 0.16% 0.15% 0.14%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

117

8.12 LEBANON Mobile Telephones (million US $): Lebanon 1995 - 2005 Year

Lebanon

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.21% 0.15% 0.13% 0.11% 0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.13 OMAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Oman 1995 - 2005 Year

Oman

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

0.49% 0.35% 0.31% 0.26% 0.23% 0.22% 0.20% 0.19% 0.18% 0.17% 0.17%

0.02% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

118

8.14 PAKISTAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Pakistan 1995 - 2005 Year

Pakistan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

32 35 43 66 76 83 92 101 110 121 133

3.79% 3.36% 3.45% 4.52% 4.73% 4.79% 4.85% 4.90% 4.96% 5.01% 5.05%

0.20% 0.17% 0.17% 0.23% 0.24% 0.25% 0.26% 0.26% 0.27% 0.27% 0.28%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.15 QATAR Mobile Telephones (million US $): Qatar 1995 - 2005 Year

Qatar

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

0.27% 0.20% 0.17% 0.15% 0.14% 0.13% 0.12% 0.11% 0.10% 0.10% 0.00%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

119

8.16 SAUDI ARABIA Mobile Telephones (million US $): Saudi Arabia 1995 - 2005 Year

Saudi Arabia

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

137 154 203 252 264 269 274 280 286 293 299

16.03% 14.62% 16.42% 17.23% 16.42% 15.45% 14.53% 13.66% 12.85% 12.07% 11.35%

0.84% 0.75% 0.84% 0.89% 0.86% 0.82% 0.78% 0.74% 0.70% 0.67% 0.63%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.17 SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC Mobile Telephones (million US $): Syrian Arab Republic 1995 - 2005 Year

Syrian Arab Republic

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

14 14 16 23 26 28 30 33 35 38 42

1.64% 1.33% 1.32% 1.56% 1.59% 1.59% 1.58% 1.58% 1.58% 1.58% 1.58%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.08% 0.00% 0.00% 0.08%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

120

8.18 TAJIKISTAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Tajikistan 1995 - 2005 Year

Tajikistan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

0.40% 0.30% 0.27% 0.24% 0.22% 0.21% 0.20% 0.18% 0.16% 0.15% 0.13%

0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.19 TURKEY Mobile Telephones (million US $): Turkey 1995 - 2005 Year

Turkey

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

141 200 251 265 289 318 349 384 423 465 512

16.51% 18.99% 20.35% 18.08% 17.97% 18.25% 18.51% 18.75% 18.98% 19.20% 19.40%

0.87% 0.98% 1.05% 0.94% 0.94% 0.97% 1.00% 1.02% 1.04% 1.06% 1.09%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________




Mobile Telephones

121

8.20 TURKMENISTAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Turkmenistan 1995 - 2005 Year

Turkmenistan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4

0.38% 0.28% 0.26% 0.22% 0.21% 0.20% 0.18% 0.17% 0.15% 0.14% 0.13%

0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

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8.21 UNITED ARAB EMIRATES Mobile Telephones (million US $): United Arab Emirates 1995 - 2005 Year

United Arab Emirates

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

18 19 22 32 36 40 43 47 51 56 61

2.10% 1.76% 1.78% 2.19% 2.26% 2.27% 2.28% 2.29% 2.30% 2.31% 2.32%

0.11% 0.00% 0.00% 0.11% 0.11% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.13%

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8.22 UZBEKISTAN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Uzbekistan 1995 - 2005 Year

Uzbekistan

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

38 42 50 79 90 99 109 120 132 145 160

4.41% 3.94% 4.06% 5.37% 5.62% 5.71% 5.78% 5.85% 5.92% 5.99% 6.05%

0.23% 0.20% 0.20% 0.27% 0.29% 0.30% 0.31% 0.32% 0.32% 0.33% 0.34%

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8.23 YEMEN Mobile Telephones (million US $): Yemen 1995 - 2005 Year

Yemen

% of Region

% of Globe

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4

0.40% 0.29% 0.25% 0.21% 0.19% 0.18% 0.17% 0.16% 0.15% 0.14% 0.13%

0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

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