2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels

The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels By Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D. Eli Lilly...

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The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels

By Professor Philip M. Parker, Ph. D. Eli Lilly Professor of Innovation, Business and Society INSEAD (Singapore & Fontainebleau, France)

www.icongrouponline.com

2002 ICON Group Ltd.

ii

COPYRIGHT NOTICE ISBN: 0-597-98229-5

All of ICON Group Ltd. publications are copyrighted. Copying our publications in whole or in part, for whatever reason, is a violation of copyrights laws and can lead to penalties and fines. Should you want to copy tables, graphs or other materials from our publications, please contact us to request permission. ICON Group Ltd. often grants permission for very limited reproduction of our publications for internal use, press releases, and academic research. Such reproduction requires, however, confirmed permission from ICON Group Ltd. Please read the full copyright notice, disclaimer, and user agreement provisions at the end of this report.

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER

Neither ICON Group Ltd. nor its employees can be held accountable for the use and subsequent actions of the user of the information provided in this publication. Great efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy of the data, but we can not guarantee, given the volume of information, accuracy. Since the information given in this report is forward-looking, the reader should read the disclaimer statement and user agreement provisions at the end of this report.



iii

About the Author Dr. Philip M. Parker is the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society at INSEAD where he has taught courses on multivariate statistics and global competitive strategy since 1988. He has also taught courses at MIT, Stanford University, Harvard University, UCLA, UCSD, and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. He is the author of six books on the economic convergence of nations. These books introduce the notion of “physioeconomics” which foresees a lack of global convergence in economic behaviors due to physiological and physiographic forces. His latest book is "Physioeconomics: The Basis for Long-Run Economic Growth" (MIT Press 2000). He has also published numerous articles in academic journals, including The Rand Journal of Economics, Marketing Science, the Journal of International Business Studies, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of Forecasting, the European Management Journal, the European Journal of Operational Research, Journal of Marketing, International Journal of Research in Marketing, and Journal of Marketing Research. He is also on the editorial boards of several academic journals. Dr. Parker received his Ph.D. in Business Economics from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and has Masters degrees in Finance and Banking (University of Aix-Marseille) and Managerial Economics (Wharton). His undergraduate degrees are in mathematics, biology and economics (minor in aeronautical engineering). He has consulted and/or taught courses in Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Latin America, North America and Europe.

About this Series This series was created for international firms who rely on foreign export markets for a substantial portion of their business or who might be threatened by foreign trade competition. The estimates given in this report were created using a methodology developed by and under the direct supervision of Professor Philip M. Parker, the Eli Lilly Chaired Professor of Innovation, Business and Society, at INSEAD. The methodology, relying on historical figures of economic growth and trade flows, estimates the market shares of some 150 countries for over 500 industrial or product categories. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are projected for the current year of trade.

Acknowledgements Some of the methodologies and research approaches used in this report have benefited from the R&D Committee at INSEAD, whose research support is gratefully acknowledged. Additional editorial assistance from Tiffany LaRochelle, ICON Group International, Inc., is also acknowledged.



iv

About ICON Group Ltd. ICON Group Ltd.’s primary mission is to assist managers with their international information needs. U.S.-owned and operated, ICON Group has field offices in Paris, Hong Kong and Lomé, Togo (West Africa). Created in 1994, ICON Group has published hundreds of multi-client databases, and global/regional market data, industry and country publications. Global/Regional Management Studies. Summarizing over 190 countries, management studies are generally organized into regional volumes and cover key management functions. The human resource series covers minimum wages, child labor, unionization and collective bargaining. The international law series covers media control and censorship, search and seizure, and trial justice and punishment. The diversity management series covers a variety of environmental context drivers that effect global operations. These include women’s rights, children’s rights, discrimination/racism, and religious forces and risks. Global strategic planning studies cover economic risk assessments, political risk assessments, foreign direct investment strategy, intellectual property strategy, and export strategies. Financial management studies cover taxes and tariffs. Global marketing studies focus on target segments (e.g. seniors, children, women) and strategic marketing planning. Country Studies. Often managers need an in-depth, yet broad and up-to-date understanding of a country’s strategic market potential and situation before the first field trip or investment proposal. There are over 190 country studies available. Each study consists of analysis, statistics, forecasts, and information of relevance to managers. The studies are continually updated to insure that the reports have the most relevant information available. In addition to raw information, the reports provide relevant analyses which put a more general perspective on a country (seen in the context of relative performance vis-à-vis benchmarks). Industry Studies. Companies are racing to become more international, if not global in their strategies. For over 2000 product/industry categories, these reports give the reader a concise summary of latent market forecasts, pro-forma financials, import competition profiles, contacts, key references and trends across 200 countries of the world. Some reports focus on a particular product and region (up to four regions per product), while others focus on a product within a particular country. ICON Group Customer Service 4370 La Jolla Village Drive, 4th floor San Diego, CA 92122 USA Tel: 1-858-546-4340 Fax: 1-858-546-4341 E-mail: [email protected] www.icongrouponline.com



Contents

v

Table of Contents 1

METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1 1.2 1.3

2

18

Executive Summary Burma China Hong Kong India Indonesia Japan Malaysia Thailand Executive Summary Austria Belgium Germany Greece Italy Netherlands Serbia & Montenegro Spain United Kingdom

14 14 15 16 16 16 17 17 17 18 19 20 20 20 21 21 21 22

EUROPE: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.10

5

Executive Summary Angola Cameroon Egypt Morocco Nigeria South Africa Zambia

ASIA: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9

4

7 9 12

AFRICA: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8

3

7

Our Approach The World Market: Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in 2002 The World Market: Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels Export Supplies in 2002

23 23 25 25 25 26 26 26 27 27 27

LATIN AMERICA: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002 28 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.10 5.11 5.12

Executive Summary Belize Brazil Colombia Costa Rica Ecuador El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Mexico Nicaragua Panama


28 29 30 30 30 31 31 31 32 32 32 33


Contents 5.13 5.14

6

Executive Summary Australia New Zealand

Executive Summary Israel Kuwait Lebanon Oman Pakistan Qatar United Arab Emirates Disclaimers & Safe Harbor ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions


37 37 38 38

39 39 40 41 41 41 42 42 42

DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 9.1 9.2

34 34 35 36 36 36

THE MIDDLE EAST: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 8.5 8.6 8.7 8.8

9

Executive Summary Canada Dominica Haiti United States

OCEANA: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002 7.1 7.2 7.3

8

33 33

N. AMERICA & CARIBBEAN: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5

7

Peru Venezuela

vi

43 43 44


Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels

1 1.1

7

METHODOLOGY & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OUR APPROACH

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and export managers whose primary concern is the world market for palm nuts and palm kernels. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for palm nuts and palm kernels for those firms serving the world via exports and foreign direct investment. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, this report begins by summarizing the world exporter’s market for palm nuts and palm kernels. The total level of exports on a worldwide basis is based on a model that aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market. These shares lead to a volume of import values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that competitors (countries serving that market) are likely to receive this year. From these figures, world rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritise markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in palm nuts and palm kernels (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "palm nuts and palm kernels" is 2232. For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site: http://esa.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=223. This report is updated on an annual basis. To ensure that you have the most current version, please check the web site of ICON Group at www.icongrouponline.com, or call us in the USA at 858-546-4340. Important Caveat. The figures should be seen as market estimates, as opposed to historical records, as these are forecasted for the current year of trade. More importantly, in light of the fact that unforeseeable factors might interrupt markets in achieving their reported levels, the figures should be seen as estimates of potential. For example, "mad cow" disease, foot-and-mouth disease, trade embargoes, military conflicts, acts of terrorism and other events will certainly www.icongrouponline.com



8

affect the actual trade flows recorded for a variety of industry or product categories. In such cases, the difference between the numbers given in this report and the numbers actually observed might be interpreted as the "net loss" or "net gain" due to these exogenous events affecting regular trade flows that would have occurred had these events not have taken place. Related Reports. This report was created for the world market for palm nuts and palm kernels. Closely related reports published by ICON Group include the following: • • • • • • • • • • •

The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Castor Oil Seeds The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Cotton Seeds The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Linseed The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Oil Seeds and Oleaginous Fruit The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Rape and Colza Seeds The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Sesame Seeds The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Soya Beans The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Sunflower Seeds The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Whole or Broken Oil Seeds and Oleaginous Fruit The 2002 World Market Forecasts for Imported Whole or Broken Oils Seeds and Oleaginous Fruit




1.2

9

THE WORLD MARKET: IMPORTED PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IN 2002

The following tables and graphs summarize the world markets for exporters of palm nuts and palm kernels for the year 2002.

The World Exporters' Market for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels: 2002 Region

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% of World

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

14,269 12,101 5,329 1,561 963 248 51 34,522

41.33 35.05 15.44 4.52 2.79 0.72 0.15 100.00

41.33 76.39 91.82 96.34 99.13 99.85 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Asia Latin America N. America & Caribbean Europe Africa The Middle East Oceana Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Source: Philip M. PARKER, Professor, INSEAD, copyright 2002, www.icongrouponline.com

The World Exporters' Market for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels: 2002 N. America & Caribbean Europe

Latin America

Africa The Middle East

Asia


Oceana



10

Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels: 2002 Target Market

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% of World

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

9,955 5,164 2,690 2,570 1,651 1,597 1,303 1,124 1,091 864 778 594 575 538 457 404 343 329 323 286 253 215 198 150 131 111 104 100 98 46 45 45 42 38 34 276 34,522

28.84 14.96 7.79 7.44 4.78 4.63 3.77 3.26 3.16 2.50 2.25 1.72 1.67 1.56 1.32 1.17 0.99 0.95 0.94 0.83 0.73 0.62 0.57 0.43 0.38 0.32 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.80 100.00

28.84 43.80 51.59 59.03 63.81 68.44 72.21 75.47 78.63 81.13 83.39 85.11 86.77 88.33 89.66 90.83 91.82 92.77 93.71 94.54 95.27 95.89 96.47 96.90 97.28 97.60 97.90 98.19 98.48 98.61 98.74 98.87 98.99 99.10 99.20 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Malaysia United States Costa Rica Mexico Thailand Colombia Indonesia Honduras Guatemala Ecuador Venezuela Egypt Austria China Brazil Panama Netherlands Burma Peru United Kingdom India Nigeria Japan Nicaragua Spain Dominica Belgium South Africa United Arab Emirates Qatar Italy Belize Hong Kong Oman Germany Other Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





11

Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels: 2002 Mexico Costa Rica

Thailand

United States Other

Malaysia




1.3

12

THE WORLD MARKET: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS EXPORT SUPPLIES IN 2002

Competition for the World Market for Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

Costa Rica Papua New Guinea Guatemala Panama Indonesia United States Ivory coast Malaysia Benin Solomon Islands Hungary Sudan United Kingdom Congo (Zaire) Nigeria Colombia Turkey Canada Iran Philippines France Thailand Singapore Belgium El Salvador Jamaica Vietnam Greece Netherlands India Other Total

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

9,987 8,016 5,178 2,616 1,183 991 924 711 703 667 603 594 330 301 236 225 218 178 116 108 80 76 66 58 49 45 35 34 34 28 132 34,522

28.93 23.22 15.00 7.58 3.43 2.87 2.68 2.06 2.04 1.93 1.75 1.72 0.96 0.87 0.68 0.65 0.63 0.52 0.34 0.31 0.23 0.22 0.19 0.17 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.08 0.38 100.00

28.93 52.15 67.15 74.73 78.15 81.02 83.70 85.76 87.80 89.73 91.48 93.20 94.15 95.02 95.71 96.36 96.99 97.51 97.84 98.15 98.39 98.61 98.80 98.97 99.11 99.24 99.34 99.44 99.54 99.62 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





13

Competition for the World Market for Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Guatem ala

Panam a Indonesia

Papua New Guinea Other

Costa Rica




2

14

AFRICA: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002

2.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The following tables and graphs summarize the exporters' markets in Africa for imported palm nuts and palm kernels:

Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Africa: 2002 Target Market

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% of Africa

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

594 215 100 21 14 11 8 963

61.68 22.33 10.38 2.18 1.45 1.14 0.83 100.00

61.68 84.01 94.39 96.57 98.03 99.17 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Egypt Nigeria South Africa Morocco Zambia Angola Cameroon Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Africa: 2002 Nigeria South Africa Morocco Zam bia Other

Egypt




15

Competition in Africa for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

594 215 78 22 22 21 11 963

61.68 22.33 8.10 2.28 2.28 2.18 1.14 100.00

61.68 84.01 92.11 94.39 96.68 98.86 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Sudan United Kingdom Nigeria Zambia Costa Rica Spain South Africa Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Competition in Africa for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 United Kingdom Nigeria Zam bia Costa Rica Other Sudan

2.2

ANGOLA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Angola, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

11 11

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

South Africa Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





2.3

16

CAMEROON Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Cameroon, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

8 8

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.4

EGYPT Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Egypt, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

594 594

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Sudan Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.5

MOROCCO Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Morocco, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

21 21

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Spain Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





2.6

17

NIGERIA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Nigeria, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

215 215

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

United Kingdom Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.7

SOUTH AFRICA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in South Africa, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

78 22 100

78.00 22.00 100.00

78.00 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Nigeria Zambia Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


2.8

ZAMBIA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Zambia, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

14 14

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





3

18

ASIA: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002

3.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The following tables and graphs summarize the exporters' markets in Asia for imported palm nuts and palm kernels:

Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Asia: 2002 Target Market

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% of Asia

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

9,955 1,651 1,303 538 329 253 198 42 14,269

69.77 11.57 9.13 3.77 2.31 1.77 1.39 0.29 100.00

69.77 81.34 90.47 94.24 96.54 98.32 99.71 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Malaysia Thailand Indonesia China Burma India Japan Hong Kong Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Asia: 2002 Thailand Indonesia China Burm a Other Malaysia




19

Competition in Asia for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

Papua New Guinea Costa Rica Indonesia Malaysia Solomon Islands United States Congo (Zaire) Guatemala Philippines Thailand Vietnam Total

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

8,016 2,460 1,183 711 667 560 301 176 108 76 11 14,269

56.18 17.24 8.29 4.98 4.67 3.92 2.11 1.23 0.76 0.53 0.08 100.00

56.18 73.42 81.71 86.69 91.37 95.29 97.40 98.63 99.39 99.92 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Competition in Asia for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Costa Rica

Indonesia Malaysia Solom on Islands Other

Papua New Guinea

3.2

BURMA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Burma, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

329 329

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





3.3

20

CHINA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in China, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

538 538

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

United States Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.4

HONG KONG Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Hong Kong, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

42 42

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.5

INDIA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in India, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

253 253

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





3.6

21

INDONESIA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Indonesia, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

Malaysia Costa Rica Papua New Guinea Vietnam Total

1 2 3 4

711 486 95 11 1,303

54.57 37.30 7.29 0.84 100.00

54.57 91.86 99.16 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.7

JAPAN Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Japan, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

176 22 198

88.89 11.11 100.00

88.89 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Guatemala United States Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


3.8

MALAYSIA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Malaysia, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

Papua New Guinea Indonesia Solomon Islands Philippines Thailand Total

1 2 3 4 5

7,921 1,183 667 108 76 9,955

79.57 11.88 6.70 1.08 0.76 100.00

79.57 91.45 98.15 99.24 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





3.9

22

THAILAND Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Thailand, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

1,350 301 1,651

81.77 18.23 100.00

81.77 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Congo (Zaire) Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





4

23

EUROPE: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002

4.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The following tables and graphs summarize the exporters' markets in Europe for imported palm nuts and palm kernels:

Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Europe: 2002 Target Market

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% of Europe

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

575 343 286 131 104 45 34 34 9 1,561

36.84 21.97 18.32 8.39 6.66 2.88 2.18 2.18 0.58 100.00

36.84 58.81 77.13 85.52 92.18 95.07 97.25 99.42 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Austria Netherlands United Kingdom Spain Belgium Italy Serbia & Montenegro Germany Greece Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Europe: 2002 United Kingdom Spain Netherlands

Belgium Other

Austria




24

Competition in Europe for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

603 209 158 155 70 66 58 58 49 34 34 32 22 13 1,561

38.63 13.39 10.12 9.93 4.48 4.23 3.72 3.72 3.14 2.18 2.18 2.05 1.41 0.83 100.00

38.63 52.02 62.14 72.07 76.55 80.78 84.50 88.21 91.35 93.53 95.71 97.76 99.17 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Hungary Turkey Nigeria Ivory coast United States Singapore Belgium France El Salvador Netherlands Greece Costa Rica United Kingdom Germany Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Competition in Europe for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Nigeria Turkey

Ivory coast United States

Other

Hungary




4.2

25

AUSTRIA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Austria, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

575 575

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Hungary Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.3

BELGIUM Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Belgium, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3

58 26 20 104

55.77 25.00 19.23 100.00

55.77 80.77 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Belgium France Netherlands Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.4

GERMANY Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Germany, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

34 34

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

United States Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





4.5

26

GREECE Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Greece, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

9 9

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.6

ITALY Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Italy, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

32 13 45

71.11 28.89 100.00

71.11 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

France United Kingdom Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.7

NETHERLANDS Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Netherlands, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

92 66 63 49 32 28 13 343

26.82 19.24 18.37 14.29 9.33 8.16 3.79 100.00

26.82 46.06 64.43 78.72 88.05 96.21 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Turkey Singapore Nigeria El Salvador Costa Rica Hungary Germany Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





4.8

27

SERBIA & MONTENEGRO Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Serbia & Montenegro, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

34 34

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Greece Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.9

SPAIN Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Spain, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

117 14 131

89.31 10.69 100.00

89.31 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Turkey Netherlands Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


4.10

UNITED KINGDOM Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in United Kingdom, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3

155 95 36 286

54.20 33.22 12.59 100.00

54.20 87.41 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Ivory coast Nigeria United States Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





5

28

LATIN AMERICA: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002

5.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The following tables and graphs summarize the exporters' markets in Latin America for imported palm nuts and palm kernels:

Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Latin America: 2002 Target Market

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% of Latin America

Cumulative %

22.23 21.24 13.20 9.29 9.02 7.14 6.43 3.78 3.34 2.67 1.24 0.37 0.07 100.00

22.23 43.47 56.66 65.95 74.97 82.11 88.54 92.31 95.65 98.32 99.56 99.93 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Mexico Colombia Honduras Guatemala Ecuador Venezuela Brazil Panama Peru Nicaragua Belize El Salvador Total

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

2,690 2,570 1,597 1,124 1,091 864 778 457 404 323 150 45 8 12,101

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Latin America: 2002 Colom bia

Honduras Guatem ala

Mexico Other

Costa Rica




29

Competition in Latin America for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

7,328 2,616 769 703 333 225 74 45 8 12,101

60.56 21.62 6.35 5.81 2.75 1.86 0.61 0.37 0.07 100.00

60.56 82.18 88.53 94.34 97.09 98.95 99.56 99.93 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Panama Ivory coast Benin United States Colombia Guatemala Jamaica Honduras Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Competition in Latin America for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Panam a Ivory coast Benin United States Other

Costa Rica

5.2

BELIZE Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Belize, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

45 45

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Jamaica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





5.3

30

BRAZIL Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Brazil, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

457 457

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.4

COLOMBIA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Colombia, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3

703 586 308 1,597

44.02 36.69 19.29 100.00

44.02 80.71 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Benin Costa Rica Ivory coast Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.5

COSTA RICA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Costa Rica, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

2,616 74 2,690

97.25 2.75 100.00

97.25 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Panama Guatemala Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





5.6

31

ECUADOR Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Ecuador, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

517 347 864

59.84 40.16 100.00

59.84 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Ivory coast Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.7

EL SALVADOR Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in El Salvador, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

8 8

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Honduras Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.8

GUATEMALA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Guatemala, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

1,045 46 1,091

95.78 4.22 100.00

95.78 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Colombia Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





5.9

32

HONDURAS Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Honduras, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3

842 179 103 1,124

74.91 15.93 9.16 100.00

74.91 90.84 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Colombia United States Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.10

MEXICO Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Mexico, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

2,340 230 2,570

91.05 8.95 100.00

91.05 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica United States Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.11

NICARAGUA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Nicaragua, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

150 150

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





5.12

33

PANAMA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Panama, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

404 404

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.13

PERU Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Peru, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

209 114 323

64.71 35.29 100.00

64.71 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Ivory coast Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


5.14

VENEZUELA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Venezuela, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

778 778

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





6

34

N. AMERICA & CARIBBEAN: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002

6.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The following tables and graphs summarize the exporters' markets in N. America & Caribbean for imported palm nuts and palm kernels:

Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in N. America & Caribbean: 2002 Target Market

Rank

Value (000 US$) % of N. America & Caribbean

Cumulative %

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

United States Dominica Canada Haiti Total

1 2 3 4

5,164 111 28 26 5,329

96.90 2.08 0.53 0.49 100.00

96.90 98.99 99.51 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in N. America & Caribbean: 2002

Dom inica Canada United States


Haiti



35

Competition in N. America & Caribbean for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6

4,928 178 137 34 28 24 5,329

92.48 3.34 2.57 0.64 0.53 0.45 100.00

92.48 95.82 98.39 99.02 99.55 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Guatemala Canada Costa Rica United Kingdom United States Vietnam Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Competition in N. America & Caribbean for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Canada Costa Rica United Kingdom United States Guatem ala Other

6.2

CANADA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Canada, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

28 28

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

United States Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





6.3

36

DOMINICA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Dominica, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

111 111

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.4

HAITI Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Haiti, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

26 26

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


6.5

UNITED STATES Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in United States, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4

4,928 178 34 24 5,164

95.43 3.45 0.66 0.46 100.00

95.43 98.88 99.54 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Guatemala Canada United Kingdom Vietnam Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





7

37

OCEANA: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002

7.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The following tables and graphs summarize the exporters' markets in Oceana for imported palm nuts and palm kernels:

Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Oceana: 2002 Target Market

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% of Oceana

Cumulative %

1 2

34 17 51

66.67 33.33 100.00

66.67 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Australia New Zealand Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Oceana: 2002

Australia

New Zealand

Competition in Oceana for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3

26 17 8 51

50.98 33.33 15.69 100.00

50.98 84.31 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Taiwan Australia Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





38

Competition in Oceana for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Australia

Costa Rica

Taiw an

7.2

AUSTRALIA Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Australia, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

26 8 34

76.47 23.53 100.00

76.47 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Taiwan Costa Rica Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


7.3

NEW ZEALAND Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in New Zealand, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

17 17

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Australia Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





8

39

THE MIDDLE EAST: PALM NUTS AND PALM KERNELS IMPORTS IN 2002

8.1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The following tables and graphs summarize the exporters' markets in The Middle East for imported palm nuts and palm kernels:

Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in The Middle East: 2002 Target Market

Rank

Value (000 US$) % of The Middle East

Cumulative %

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

United Arab Emirates Qatar Oman Lebanon Kuwait Pakistan Israel Total

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

98 46 38 22 21 14 9 248

39.52 18.55 15.32 8.87 8.47 5.65 3.63 100.00

39.52 58.06 73.39 82.26 90.73 96.37 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Target Markets for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in The Middle East: 2002 Om an Lebanon Qatar

Kuw ait Other

United Arab Em irates




40

Competition in The Middle East for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2 3 4 5 6

116 59 28 22 14 9 248

46.77 23.79 11.29 8.87 5.65 3.63 100.00

46.77 70.56 81.85 90.73 96.37 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Iran United Kingdom India France Sri Lanka Turkey Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Competition in The Middle East for Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels by Country of Origin: 2002 India

United Kingdom

France Sri Lanka Other Iran

8.2

ISRAEL Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Israel, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

9 9

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Turkey Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





8.3

41

KUWAIT Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Kuwait, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

21 21

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.4

LEBANON Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Lebanon, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

22 22

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

France Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.5

OMAN Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Oman, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

38 38

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





8.6

42

PAKISTAN Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Pakistan, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

14 14

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Sri Lanka Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.7

QATAR Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in Qatar, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1

46 46

100.00 100.00

100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Iran Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________


8.8

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES Imported Palm Nuts and Palm Kernels in United Arab Emirates, 2002 (Structure of Foreign Import Competition)

Country of Origin

Rank

Value (000 US$)

% Share

Cumulative %

1 2

70 28 98

71.43 28.57 100.00

71.43 100.00 100.00

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Iran India Total

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________





9 9.1

43

DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS DISCLAIMERS & SAFE HARBOR

Summary disclaimer. This publication ("Report") does not constitute legal, valuation, tax, or financial consulting advice. Nor is it a statement on the performance, management capability or future potential (good or bad) of the company(ies), industry(ies), product(s), region(s), city(ies) or country(ies) ("Topics") discussed. It is offered as an information service to clients, associates, and academicians. Those interested in specific guidance for legal, strategic, and/or financial or accounting matters should seek competent professional assistance from their own advisors. Information was furnished to ICON Group Ltd. ("ICON Group"), and its subsidiaries (ICON Group International, Inc.), by its internal researchers and/or extracted from public filings, or sources available within the public domain, including other information providers (e.g. EDGAR filings, national organizations and international organizations). ICON Group does not promise or warrant that we will obtain information from any particular independent source. Published regularly by ICON Group, this and similar reports provide analysis on cities, countries, industries, and/or foreign and domestic companies which may or may not be publicly traded. ICON Group reports are used by various companies and persons including consulting firms, investment officers, pension fund managers, registered representatives, and other financial service professionals. Any commentary, observations or discussion by ICON Group about Topic does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell company shares or make investment decisions. Further, the financial condition or outlook for each Topic may change after the date of the publication, and ICON Group does not warrant, promise or represent that it will provide report users with notice of that change, nor will ICON Group promise updates on the information presented. Safe Harbor for Forward-Looking Statements. ICON Group reports, including the present report, make numerous forwardlooking statements which should be treated as such. Forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Reform Act of 1995 and similar local laws. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which may cause a Topic's actual results or outlook in future periods to differ materially from those forecasted. These risks and uncertainties include, among other things, product price volatility, exchange rate volatility, regulation volatility, product demand volatility, data inaccuracies, computer- or software-generated calculation inacuracies, market competition, changes in management style, changes in corporate strategy, and risks inherent in international and corporate operations. Forward-looking statements can be identified in statements by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They use words such as "anticipate,'' "estimate," "expect,'' "project,'' "intend,'' "plan,'' "feel", "think", "hear," "guess," "forecast," "believe," and other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any discussion of future operating, economic or financial performance. This equally applies to all statements relating to a Topic, economic variable or company financial situation. ICON Group recommends that the reader follow the advice of Nancy M. Smith, Director of SEC's Office of Investor Education and Assistance, "Never, ever, make an investment based solely on what you read in an online newsletter or Internet bulletin board, especially if the investment involves a small, thinly-traded company that isn't well known … Assume that the information about these companies is not trustworthy unless you can prove otherwise through your own independent research." Similar recommendations apply to decisions relating to industry studies, product category studies, corporate strategies discussions and country evaluations. In the case of ICON Group reports, many factors can affect the actual outcome of the period discussed, including exchange rate volatility, changes in accounting standards, the lack of oversight or comparability in accounting standards, changes in economic conditions, changes in competition, changes in the global economy, changes in source data quality, changes in reported data quality, changes in methodology and similar factors. Information Accuracy. Although the statements in this report are derived from or based upon various information sources and/or econometric models that ICON Group believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, reliability, quality, any such information, or resulting analyses, may be incomplete, rounded, inaccurate or condensed. All estimates included in this report are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation to invest in a city, country, industry or product area, or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of a security, stock, or financial instrument. This report does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person or legal entity. With respect to any specific Topic that might be discussed in this report, investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making an investment decision on the basis of the information in this report. Investing in either U.S. or non-U.S. securities or markets entails inherent risks. In addition,




44

exchange rate movements may have an effect on the reliability of the estimates provided in this report. ICON Group is not a registered Investment Adviser or a Broker/Dealer.

9.2

ICON GROUP LTD. USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS

Ownership. User agrees that ICON Group Ltd. ("ICON Group") and its subsidiaries (ICON Group International, Inc.) retains all rights, title and interests, including copyright and other proprietary rights, in this report and all material, including but not limited to text, images, and other multimedia data, provided or made available as part of this report ("Report"). Restrictions on Use. User agrees that it will not copy nor license, sell, transfer, make available or otherwise distribute the Report to any entity or person, except that User may (a) make available to its employees electronic copies of Report, (b) allow its employees to store, manipulate, and reformat Report, and (c) allow its employees to make paper copies of Report, provided that such electronic and paper copies are used solely internally and are not distributed to any third parties. In all cases the User agrees to fully inform and distribute to other internal users all discussions covering the methodology of this Report and the disclaimers and caveats associated with this Report. User shall use its best efforts to stop any unauthorized copying or distribution immediately after such unauthorized use becomes known. The provisions of this paragraph are for the benefit of ICON Group and its information resellers, each of which shall have the right to enforce its rights hereunder directly and on its own behalf. No Warranty. The Report is provided on an "AS IS" basis. ICON GROUP DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL WARRANTIES, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, RELATING TO THIS AGREEMENT, PERFORMANCE UNDER THIS AGREEMENT, AND THE REPORT. ICON Group makes no warranties regarding the completeness, accuracy or availability of the Report. Limitation of Liability. In no event shall ICON Group, its employees or its agent, resellers and distributors be liable to User or any other person or entity for any direct, indirect, special, exemplary, punitive, or consequential damages, including lost profits, based on breach of warranty, contract, negligence, strict liability or otherwise, arising from the use of the report or under this Agreement or any performance under this Agreement, whether or not they or it had any knowledge, actual or constructive, that such damages might be incurred. Indemnification. User shall indemnify and hold harmless ICON Group and its resellers, distributors and information providers against any claim, damages, loss, liability or expense arising out of User's use of the Report in any way contrary to this Agreement. © ICON Group Ltd., 2002. All rights reserved. Any unauthorized use, duplication or disclosure is prohibited by law and will result in prosecution. Text, graphics, and HTML or other computer code are protected by US and International Copyright Laws, and may not be copied, reprinted, published, translated, hosted, or otherwise distributed by any means without explicit permission. Permission is granted to quote small portions of this report with proper attribution. Media quotations with source attributions are encouraged. Reporters requesting additional information or editorial comments should contact ICON Group via email at [email protected]. Sources: This report was prepared from a variety of sources including excerpts from documents and official reports or databases published by the World Bank, the U.S. Department of Commerce, the U.S. State Department, various national agencies, the International Monetary Fund, the Central Intelligence Agency, the United Nations, ICON Group International, Inc. and ICON Group Ltd.

END



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